- S&P fut: 7,518 (0.45%)
- Nasdaq fut: 29,178 (1.39%)
- Dow fut: 52,214 (0.27%)
- VIX: 17.75 (-4.83%)
- 10Y: 4.60% (1.26%)
- Dollar: 100.96 (0.01%)
- Fear & Greed: 37 · fear
- BTC: $66,276 (2.04%)
- XRP: $1.14 (2.76%)
- ETH: $1,934 (2.23%)
- 30Y mortgage: 6.55%
TL;DR
3- Trump slaps 50% tariffs on Canadian goods while U.S. strikes on Iran enter their 10th night with nearly 100 troops injured — geopolitical heat is rising on two fronts at once.
- Futures are firmly green (Nasdaq +1.39%) with VIX easing to 17.75 — risk-on despite the headlines.
- Watch Charles Schwab and Danaher earnings before the bell, plus the weekly jobless claims read on Thursday for labor-market direction.
Number of the Day
- 50% — the new tariff rate Trump just imposed on Canadian goods, the steepest levy yet on a G7 trading partner. It's a dramatic escalation that could ripple through cross-border supply chains in autos, energy, and lumber almost immediately.
Top 10 Stories Right Now
10- 1
Trump hits Canada with 50% tariffs — The White House imposed a sweeping 50% tariff on Canadian goods, marking one of the steepest trade actions against a close ally in recent memory. The move threatens to disrupt integrated supply chains in autos, energy, and lumber. Reaction has been sharply divided along trade-policy lines. Read
- 2
Iran war enters 10th night of U.S. strikes — American forces have now struck Iranian targets for a tenth straight night after three U.S. troops were killed and nearly 100 injured in recent weeks, the Pentagon confirmed. The campaign is escalating with no clear off-ramp in sight. Public anxiety about a widening war is climbing. Read
- 3
Houthis edge closer to entering the war — Yemen's Houthi movement appears poised to formally join the U.S.-Iran conflict, raising fears of a wider regional blockade and shipping disruptions. Analysts warn this could pull in more actors across the Gulf. Markets are watching oil-transit routes closely. Read
- 4
Tropical Storm Bertha bears down on the Southeast — Forecasters have laid out a timeline for when Bertha's first impacts will hit the region, with flooding and wind risks mounting. Coastal communities are bracing for disruption this week. Preparation chatter is spiking online. Read
- 5
Anti-ICE Army veteran allegedly sets fire outside Manhattan federal building — Officials say an Army veteran opposed to ICE deliberately started a fire outside a federal building in Manhattan. The incident underscores rising tension around immigration enforcement. Coverage has been polarized. Read
- 6
Arizona primaries test key races today — Voters head to the polls in Arizona in primaries being closely watched as a bellwether for the fall map. Several competitive down-ballot contests are in play. Turnout signals are being parsed for midterm clues. Read
- 7
GM raises full-year guidance on earnings beat — General Motors reported a Q2 earnings beat and lifted its full-year outlook as costs come down. It's a signal of resilience in the auto sector despite tariff noise. Investors reacted positively. Read
- 8
China's new AI model halts subscriptions amid demand surge — A Chinese AI model has stopped accepting new subscribers because demand outstripped server capacity. It highlights the intensity of the global AI compute race. Observers see it as a sign of surging Chinese AI adoption. Read
- 9
Sony sues Udio over 30,000 songs — Sony filed suit against the AI music generator Udio, naming 30,000 songs allegedly used without permission. It's one of the biggest AI-copyright fights yet in the music industry. Reaction from artists has been largely supportive of the suit. Read
- 10
Supreme Court to review Alaska's plane-seizure case over a six-pack of beer — The Court agreed to hear a pilot's case challenging Alaska's seizure of his plane over a minor beer violation. He argues it's a broader test of civil-forfeiture limits. The case has drawn attention from property-rights advocates. Read
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Upcoming Big Events
8- This week — House expected to vote on a stopgap funding bill to keep the government funded past the midterms.
- This week — House also considers the Combined Voter ID and Insider Trading Acts.
- This week — Senate weighs a floor vote on the CLARITY Act (crypto market-structure bill), facing pressure ahead of an Aug. 10 deadline.
- This week — Senate also weighing the SAVE Act amid a possible shutdown fight.
- Ongoing — Fed officials in blackout period ahead of the next FOMC rate decision.
- July 24 — Weekly jobless claims (consensus 211K vs. prior 208K), a fresh read on labor-market cooling.
- July 25 — S&P Global PMIs, New Home Sales, and Building Permits — a snapshot of manufacturing and housing momentum.
- July 27 — China industrial profits YTD (previous: 18.8%).
Pre-Market Pulse
6- S&P futures (ES): 7,518.00 🔼 +0.45%
- Nasdaq futures (NQ): 29,178.00 🔼 +1.39%
- Dow futures (YM): 52,214.00 🔼 +0.27%
- VIX: 17.75 🔽 -4.83% (easing, still moderate)
- 10Y yield: ~4.60% 🔼 +1.26%
- DXY: 100.957 🔼 +0.01% (flat) Futures are pushing higher across the board — Nasdaq leading — with VIX easing below 18, a risk-on tilt heading into the open despite tariff and Iran headlines.
Fear & Greed
37 · fear
Today's Economic Calendar
3- US Leading Index: -0.2% actual vs. -0.1% consensus, 0.1% prior
- 3-Month Bill Auction: 3.730% (prior 3.760%)
- 6-Month Bill Auction: 3.835% (prior 3.860%)
Earnings Today
5- NVS (Novartis, pre-market, $293.4B cap) — EPS forecast $2.20 vs. $2.42 a year ago.
- SCHW (Charles Schwab, pre-market, $176.6B cap) — EPS forecast $1.53 vs. $1.14 last year, a brokerage bellwether for retail trading activity.
- DHR (Danaher, pre-market, $144.3B cap) — EPS forecast $1.84 vs. $1.80.
- COF (Capital One, after-hours, $128.2B cap) — EPS forecast $4.85 vs. $5.48, worth watching for consumer-credit health signals.
- MMM (3M, pre-market, $83.4B cap) — EPS forecast $2.27 vs. $2.16.
Stocks Moving
8- ZYBT $8.01 (+1047.56%) — no catalyst in today's data.
- MF $4.22 (+322%) — no catalyst in today's data.
- RNWWW $0.0029 (+93.33%) — no catalyst in today's data.
- LBGJ $0.2223 (-90.78%) — no catalyst in today's data.
- GVH $1.48 (-68.91%) — no catalyst in today's data.
- BITO — leads most-active volume (~440M shares) as bitcoin-linked ETF trading surges alongside crypto's rally.
- AMC — up 26.94% to $2.45 on heavy volume; no catalyst in today's data.
- IREN — up 19.74% to $40.25, among today's most-active names; no catalyst in today's data.
Unusual Activity
3- AMZN — options flow heavily bullish (calls 241.6K vs. puts 78.3K, put/call 0.32), with unusual call buying at the $237.50 strike expiring July 22.
- INTC — call volume dwarfs puts (235.8K vs. 100.1K), with heavy unusual activity at the $79–$80 strikes expiring this week.
- DPC — insider cluster: 9 insiders added +2.3M shares (+410% ownership stake) worth $75.8M, the largest cluster
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Assembled automatically from public sources — every headline links to its origin. Nothing here is investment advice.