- S&P fut: 7,716 (0.02%)
- Nasdaq fut: 29,516 (-0.24%)
- Dow fut: 53,463 (0.11%)
- VIX: 15.78 (-0.38%)
- 10Y: 4.71% (-0.38%)
- Dollar: 99.41 (-0.25%)
- Fear & Greed: 54 · neutral
- BTC: $64,461 (0.28%)
- XRP: $1.01 (0.72%)
- ETH: $1,921 (1.06%)
- 30Y mortgage: 6.67%
TL;DR
3- Trump says the US and Canada struck a deal to delay 50% tariffs on Canadian imports, while UAE cuts trade ties with Iran and claims it was hit with missiles — a busy morning on both the trade and Mideast fronts.
- Futures are mixed (S&P +0.02%, Nasdaq -0.24%), VIX sits calm at 15.78, and the 10-year yield eased to 4.71% — a market shrugging off overnight geopolitics.
- Watch today's earnings from ADI, TJX, Lowe's, and Target for a read on consumer and industrial health going into the fall.
Number of the Day
- 500% — the trading-debut pop for Chinese robot maker Unitree. It's a jaw-dropping number for a single day's gain, and it lands the same morning U.S. chip and AI-adjacent names (SOXL, NVDA) are getting sold off — a reminder that "AI mania" is very much alive, just not evenly distributed across markets.
Top 10 Stories Right Now
10- 1
Florida's left notches a surprise primary win — Democratic primary results in Florida delivered a jolt to the party establishment, with progressive-aligned candidates outperforming expectations. Analysts are calling it a signal of where the base's energy sits heading into the midterms. Link
- 2
Trump: US-Canada strike deal to delay 50% tariffs — the two countries reached an agreement to push back the punishing tariffs that had been set to hit Canadian imports. It's a de-escalation, at least temporarily, in a trade fight that had been rattling cross-border industries. Link
- 3
Trump-backed Harriet Hageman wins Wyoming's GOP Senate primary — her win cements Trump's continued grip on the party's primary process in deep-red states. It's the latest data point on how far his endorsement still travels. Link
- 4
Byron Donalds wins the GOP nod for Florida governor — the sitting congressman will face former Rep. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee, setting up a high-profile general election in a state that's become a political bellwether. Link
- 5
UAE halts trade with Iran, says it was targeted by missiles — the Emirates' move marks a sharp escalation in Gulf tensions and follows a string of incidents attributed to Tehran. It raises fresh questions about regional shipping and energy security. Link
- 6
Israel strikes a Syrian air base to block Turkish troop deployment — the strike is aimed at preventing Turkey from establishing a foothold in Syria, adding another layer to an already crowded regional chessboard. Link
- 7
US and South Korea cut joint military drills roughly in half — the reduction follows a Trump order and marks a notable shift in Washington's Korean Peninsula posture. Link
- 8
Trump: Iran blockade stays in effect; Pentagon addresses stockpile concerns — the administration reaffirmed its blockade stance while facing questions about weapons inventory readiness. Link
- 9
Harvard to pay $53 million to settle body-parts theft lawsuits — the settlement resolves litigation tied to a morgue scandal, one of the more disturbing legal sagas to hit a major university in years. Link
- 10
Chinese robot maker Unitree soars 500% on its trading debut — the humanoid-robot company's IPO pop is one of the more extreme debut moves of the year, underscoring investor hunger for anything AI/robotics-adjacent in Asia. Link
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Upcoming Big Events
7- Aug 20 — Weekly EIA Crude Oil Inventories release; a signal to watch given ongoing Strait of Hormuz/Iran tensions.
- Aug 21 — Initial jobless claims (consensus 210K) and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (consensus 24.1, sharply down from 41.4 prior) — a real-time check on labor and factory momentum.
- Aug 22 — S&P Global flash Manufacturing/Services PMIs, the first read on August business activity.
- Sept 15 — Senate procedural vote on the CLARITY Act (crypto market-structure legislation), per Sen. Lummis.
- September — Senate vote on the college sports bill, delayed from its original summer timeline.
- By Sept 4 — Circuit court decision expected on Lake Michigan shoreline access, a case with implications for Great Lakes property rights.
- Arizona's Supreme Court is expected to rule soon on a ballot initiative tied to school-voucher (ESA) reforms.
Pre-Market Pulse
- 🔼 S&P futures (ES): 7,715.75 (+0.02%) 🔽 Nasdaq futures (NQ): 29,515.5 (-0.24%) 🔼 Dow futures (YM): 53,463.0 (+0.11%) 🔽 VIX: 15.78 (-0.38%) — still comfortably calm 🔽 10Y yield: 4.71% (-0.38%) 🔽 DXY: 99.41 (-0.25%) Tape read: a mixed, low-volatility setup with tech lagging and yields/dollar easing slightly — no panic, but no conviction either.
Fear & Greed
54 · neutral
Today's Economic Calendar
5- ADP Employment Change (weekly): 9.50K vs. 8.30K prior — a modest uptick.
- Building Permits: 1.443M vs. 1.370M consensus, 1.374M prior — beat.
- Export Price Index: -1.3% vs. 0.2% consensus — miss.
- Housing Starts: 1.239M vs. 1.340M consensus, 1.415M prior (-12.4% MoM) — notable slowdown.
- Import Price Index: 5.9% YoY vs. 7.1% prior — cooling.
Earnings Today
5- ADI ($190.1B, pre-market) — EPS forecast $3.33 vs. $2.05 a year ago, a chip-cycle bellwether.
- TJX ($166.6B, pre-market) — EPS forecast $1.18 vs. $1.10, a read on discount-retail resilience.
- LOW ($121.0B, pre-market) — EPS forecast $4.22 vs. $4.33 last year; already flagged as cutting its outlook on a soft housing market (see Real Estate below).
- TGT ($68.6B, pre-market) — EPS forecast $2.30 vs. $2.05; already reported a beat this morning with management citing turnaround traction.
- EL ($30.5B, pre-market) — EPS forecast $0.32 vs. $0.09 last year, a big expected jump for beauty demand.
Stocks Moving
8- XOSWW $0.008 (+900%) — no catalyst in today's data.
- PFSA $27.48 (+506.62%) — no catalyst in today's data.
- NTWOW $1.66 (+492.86%) — no catalyst in today's data.
- UFG $0.58 (-90.17%) — no catalyst in today's data.
- LGCL $0.2417 (-82.86%) — no catalyst in today's data.
- INTC — 122M shares traded, stock down ~6.6% on the session per quotes data, among the most active names.
- NVDA — down ~2.4%, tracking the broader tech selloff.
- SOXL (3x semis bull ETF) — down ~16.4%, amplifying the chip-sector pullback.
Unusual Activity
4- AAPL — calls outpacing puts nearly 2.5-to-1 (put/call ratio 0.42), with a $312.50 call strike seeing 106,583 contracts trade against just 4,767 open interest.
- DPC — insider cluster of 9 filers bought $75.8M worth of stock, lifting insider ownership by +410%.
- QNT — insider cluster of 10 filers added $24.6M, a +85% jump in ownership stake.
- Congressional trading data: nothing notable logged today.
Crypto
- 🔼 BTC: $64,461 (+0.28%) 🔼 XRP: $1.005 (+0.72%) 🔼 ETH: $1,921.48 (+1.06%) Tape read: quiet, modestly green across the board — no fireworks overnight.
Real Estate
4- 30-year fixed mortgage rate: 6.67% as of Aug 13 — holding roughly steady, still elevated.
- Lowe's cut its outlook, citing a soft housing market curbing demand. Link
- Home Depot's leadership called the housing market "frozen" even while reaffirming guidance. Link
- U.S. housing market remained under pressure in July, even as factory output rose. Link
Entertainment
5- ZZ Top drummer Frank Beard dies at 77 — the boogie-rock trio's longtime timekeeper has passed, closing out a decades-long chapter of one of rock's most recognizable bands. Link
- Tupac Shakur trial: lawyers lay out full account of the killing — witnesses are still refusing to testify decades after the rapper's death, keeping the long-running case shrouded in uncertainty. Link
- Rosie O'Donnell takes aim at Trump on Kimmel — a fiery monologue got audiences buzzing, with O'Donnell directly addressing the president. Link
- Hilary Duff reflects on growing up in Hollywood alongside Hayden Panettiere — a rare, candid look at what it's like navigating fame as a young star. Link
- Chris Evans opens up on the most "unexpected" part of new fatherhood — the actor is sharing early parenting reflections with wife Alba Baptista. Link
AI News
- Air Theremin — a browser-based theremin that you play by waving at your webcam, turning any laptop camera into a gesture-controlled instrument (HN, 49 points).
- "Activation Energy is a good model for a lot of things" — a discussion piece applying the physics concept of activation energy to habits, decisions, and organizational inertia (HN, 28 points).
Breakthroughs
- Scientists are developing human "organ sacks" that could replace lab animals in early-stage drug and safety testing, a real step toward reducing animal testing while improving human-relevant results. Link
- Israeli researchers report a breakthrough in producing milk proteins from plants, a potential step toward more sustainable dairy alternatives at scale. Link
The Long Read
- "How a Cowboy Rides When the Range is on Fire" — a deep look at British Columbia ranchers navigating an increasingly common wildfire threat to their land and livelihood. Worth the 20 minutes for the texture alone — a way of life under literal and figurative pressure. read
On This Day
- In 2004, Google Inc. had its initial public offering on the Nasdaq — a moment that reshaped both Silicon Valley and how the world thinks about tech IPOs.
Birthdays Today
3- Keegan Murray (turns 26) — NBA forward.
- Nafissatou Thiam (turns 32) — Belgian Olympic heptathlon and pentathlon champion.
- Salem Al-Dawsari (turns 35) — Saudi Arabian national team footballer.
Recipe of the Day
- Pilchard puttanesca — an Italian pantry-staple pasta built on spaghetti, tomato purée, garlic, and pilchards (sardines), with a kick from red chilli. Fast, cheap, and satisfying for a Wednesday night. recipe
Parenting Tip
- Tonight, ask your kid to describe how their day felt in a color instead of a word — "was today more red, blue, or gray?" — then ask why. Metaphor often unlocks feelings that direct questions don't, especially for kids who freeze up on "how was your day?" Works well for ages 4-10.
🧠 Daily trivia
In the game "DELTARUNE," what is Ralsei's special ability?
Sweet Nothings
- Tell them this one: "What's this movie about? It's about two hours long." If it earns even a groan, follow it with something real — name one specific thing you're actually looking forward to doing together this week.
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Assembled automatically from public sources — every headline links to its origin. Nothing here is investment advice.





