- S&P fut: 7,781 (0.02%)
- Nasdaq fut: 29,847 (0.04%)
- Dow fut: 54,083 (-0.13%)
- VIX: 15.45 (3.69%)
- 10Y: 4.66% (-0.21%)
- Dollar: 99.74 (0.20%)
- Fear & Greed: 64 · greed
- 30Y mortgage: 6.69%
TL;DR
3- Netanyahu has publicly rejected the Trump-backed Gaza disarmament and withdrawal plan, casting fresh doubt on the ceasefire framework Washington has been touting (WaPo).
- Futures are flat-to-slightly-up (S&P +0.02%, Nasdaq +0.04%), but the VIX is up nearly 4% and oil is climbing on the Hormuz stalemate — a cautiously nervous open, not a confident one.
- Watch pre-market earnings from Barrick Mining and Ferguson Enterprises this morning, with Rocket Lab and AST SpaceMobile reporting after the close.
Number of the Day
- 20,000 — the number of people forced to evacuate as wildfires tear through British Columbia (NBC News). It's a reminder that this is shaping up to be another brutal North American fire season, layering onto an already smoke-choked western US and Canada.
Top 10 Stories Right Now
10- 1
Netanyahu says no to Trump's Gaza disarmament plan. He's rejected the US-backed framework calling for Hamas disarmament and an Israeli withdrawal, undercutting the ceasefire narrative the White House has pushed. It raises fresh questions about what "peace" actually means on the ground. Reaction has been muted but skeptical. Read
- 2
Oil climbs as the Strait of Hormuz standoff drags on. Prices are rising as neither side blinks in the chokepoint stalemate, and traders are pricing in prolonged disruption risk. It's spilling directly into markets — see the pre-market oil bounce below. Read
- 3
Ukrainian drone strike kills 12 in Russian city of Nizhnekamsk. Authorities report a dozen dead after the attack, marking one of the deeper strikes into Russian territory in the war's current phase. Read
- 4
A new accounting of Epstein's abuse surfaces at an arts school. Decades of alleged predatory behavior at the school are being detailed, adding to the sprawling record of Epstein's conduct across institutions. Read
- 5
Trump says the US is only "semi-negotiating" with Iran. He's pushing back on Tehran's demands to reopen the Strait, keeping the standoff in limbo rather than resolving it. Read
- 6
A gunman kills a Thai local official as the country reels from a school shooting. The killing lands amid an already tense national conversation about gun violence in Thailand. Read
- 7
Typhoon Dolphin slams into China, triggering mass evacuations. Authorities are moving residents out ahead of what's shaping up to be a significant storm. Read
- 8
A Kurdish filmmaker describes "inhumane" ICE force-feeding. She recounts a tube injury during detention, adding a personal, graphic account to the broader debate over immigration detention practices. Reaction online has leaned toward outrage. Read
- 9
Kevin Warsh is quietly rewiring the Fed. The new chair is reportedly reshaping how the central bank operates, including floating fewer scheduled meetings. It's a subtle but consequential shift in monetary-policy plumbing. Read
- 10
DeepMind's CEO exit is tied to low morale and a talent exodus. Fortune's reporting points to model delays and internal friction fueling the departure, a notable crack in Google's AI leadership. Read
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Upcoming Big Events
7- This week — Senate GOP priorities are piling up ahead of a scheduled recess, with the CLARITY Act's crypto-regulation vote already pushed to September.
- Ongoing — SCOTUS is weighing decisions on Trump's birthright citizenship push, mail-in voting rules, and a case that could decide the fate of New Jersey's assault weapons ban.
- Aug 12 — NFIB Small Business Optimism (consensus 97.8) and Existing Home Sales (consensus 4.05M) land.
- Aug 13 — Core CPI (consensus 0.2%), the week's key inflation read.
- Aug 14 — Core PPI, PPI, and weekly jobless claims — a full producer-price and labor snapshot.
- Aug 15 — Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales, plus Michigan inflation expectations.
- Ongoing — Kevin Warsh is reportedly weighing cutting the number of annual FOMC meetings, a structural change still being debated rather than scheduled.
Pre-Market Pulse
6- S&P futures: 7781.25 ↑ 0.02%
- Nasdaq futures: 29847.25 ↑ 0.04%
- Dow futures: 54083.00 ↓ 0.13%
- VIX: 15.45 ↑ 3.69%
- 10Y yield: 4.66% ↓ slightly
- DXY: 99.739 ↑ 0.20% Read: a mostly flat tape with a nervous edge — VIX ticking up and the dollar firming suggest traders are hedging against the Hormuz/Gaza headlines rather than ignoring them.
Fear & Greed
64 · greed
Today's Economic Calendar
- Quiet on the US data front — today's only scheduled releases are Japanese Adjusted Current Account, Bank Lending, and the BoJ Summary of Opinions overnight.
Earnings Today
5- B (Barrick Mining) — pre-market, $69.5B cap, EPS consensus $0.81 vs. $0.47 last year.
- FERG (Ferguson) — pre-market, $49.5B cap, EPS consensus $3.23 vs. $3.48 last year.
- RKLB (Rocket Lab) — after hours, $43.8B cap, EPS consensus ($0.07).
- ASTS (AST SpaceMobile) — after hours, $26.1B cap, EPS consensus ($0.28).
- SPG (Simon Property Group) — after hours, $71.9B cap, EPS consensus $3.18.
Stocks Moving
8- YJ $3.40 ▲176.4% — no catalyst in today's data.
- MB $8.92 ▲137.9% — no catalyst in today's data.
- WWR $0.7672 ▲87.8% — no catalyst in today's data.
- PARA $1.76 ▼84.1% — no catalyst in today's data.
- BKSY.WS $0.0021 ▼79% — no catalyst in today's data.
- Worth watching: NVDA rose 2.35% to $223.93 on 106M+ shares traded, among the day's most active names.
- TTD slid roughly 22% to $13.79 per quote data, a sharp drop with no catalyst confirmed in today's feed.
- HCWC was the single most-traded name today with 654M+ shares changing hands.
Unusual Activity
5- Confluence: none flagged today.
- AAPL call volume is spiking at the 295–300 strikes (Aug 10 expiry), with volume-to-open-interest ratios above 100x — heavy short-dated positioning.
- PLTR saw 51,325 contracts trade at the $155 Sept 18 call strike against just 9,836 open interest — a notable buildup of bullish bets further out.
- Insider buying: DPC insiders bought 2.3M shares (~$75.8M) lifting ownership +410%; SCTX insiders added $71.3M (+114% ownership) — both large, concentrated buy clusters.
- Congressional trades: none reported today.
Crypto
- No crypto data available today — pricing feed came back empty.
Real Estate
4Entertainment
5- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" holds the China box office crown as "Once Upon a Time in the Middle East" and "The Odyssey" surge in previews. Read
- A man was arrested after breaking into Kim Kardashian's Hidden Hills mansion. Details on the intrusion are still emerging. Read
- "House of the Dragon" showrunners explain a major finale book change, giving fans context on how Helaena's storyline diverges from the source material. Read
- Suge Knight says he doesn't want to testify in the trial of a suspect in Tupac Shakur's murder. Read
- Ben Jones, the actor who played Cooter in "Dukes of Hazzard" and later served in Congress, has died at 84. Read
AI News
4- Meta released Muse Glimmer, a new open-weights 30B local coding model — a notable push for open-source, run-it-yourself AI infrastructure. Read
- Docker launched Docker Sandboxes, disposable isolated environments purpose-built for AI agents to run code safely.
- A widely upvoted HN post on "How I use LLMs to learn complex topics" (679 points) is generating heavy discussion on practical AI learning workflows.
- A "Show HN" voice-driven murder mystery where you interview AI suspects with your own voice is picking up traction (114 points).
Breakthroughs
- AI-designed viruses capable of fighting superbugs have been created for the first time, marking a genuine breakthrough in synthetic biology — but the tech also raises real biosafety questions about AI-generated pathogens. Read
The Long Read
- "How I Became the Villain of El Cerrito's Nextdoor" — a wry, personal account of how a hyperlocal app can turn a neighbor into public enemy number one. Worth it if you've ever wondered how a good deed on a community app goes sideways. Read
On This Day
- 2020 — A derecho tore through Iowa, becoming the most costly thunderstorm disaster in US history.
Birthdays Today
- Kylie Jenner (turns 29) — TV personality and businesswoman; Ja Morant (turns 27) — NBA point guard; Bernardo Silva (turns 32) — Portuguese footballer.
Recipe of the Day
- Dominican Bakes — a simple starter made from flour, baking powder, sugar, and butter, fried up golden. A quick, comforting bite that works as a weeknight side or breakfast treat. Recipe
Parenting Tip
- This morning before the door closes, ask each kid one specific thing they're looking forward to today — not "how's school going to be," but something concrete like a class, a friend, or lunch. Naming a specific bright spot ahead of time gives kids something to anchor to when the day gets hard. Works well for ages 5-14.
🧠 Daily trivia
Neil Hamburger is played by which comedian?
Sweet Nothings
- Tell them: "I already know today's going to have a rough patch in it somewhere — but knowing I get to text you about it makes it feel a lot smaller." Specific and true beats sweeping any day.
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Assembled automatically from public sources — every headline links to its origin. Nothing here is investment advice.





